
Judgment in the Cloud: The future of risk and regulation with James Lord, Google Cloud
Following the FCA’s May 2025 ‘first steps’ consultation on proposals to simplify its mortgage framework via a Mortgage Rule Review (MRR), it has now published a discussion paper on the future of the mortgage market. The overarching objective is to consider what the market needs to deliver for different consumers at different stages in their lives and for the wider UK economy, and the role of regulation to deliver it. The FCA makes it clear that, although it regulates mortgage lending, this does not happen in a vacuum; wider economic and policy factors will affect the ultimate impact of any rule changes aimed at increasing market risk in support of the government’s economic growth agenda. For example, greater mortgage access through changes to responsible lending rules could increase house prices if there is no corresponding increase in housing supply. Firms should note that the FCA is looking for input on what potential changes to its mortgage rules and guidance should be prioritised.
DP25/2 forms part of the FCA's continued focus on helping consumers navigate their financial lives and to support economic growth.
The government's clear indication that it would like regulators to allow more risk in the system in order to support economic growth, and the FCA's exploration of potential mortgage market metrics of ‘tolerable harm', show that ensuring effective management of risk within your business should be top of your “to do” list.
Key issues on which the FCA is seeking feedback in the discussion paper include:
The FCA also wants to know where the mortgage market can make best use of Open Banking, distributed ledger technology, and digitisation of activities, as well as other innovations, to support better outcomes for consumers and the market. This includes suggestions for areas that it should prioritise for TechSprints and/or Sandboxes.
Two particular areas of concern in rebalancing risk appetite that the FCA highlights are:
The FCA is looking for a steer on what potential changes to its rules and guidance should be prioritised, and which ones could have the greatest impact and/or could be implemented quickly. This is an opportunity to respond strategically, ideally ensuring that any eventual regulatory reform addresses your current pain points and is aligned with your future plans for any new product offerings and/or service innovations.
More specifically:
Our combined legal and consulting teams can help you review your approach to risk and help you adapt to any new disclosure requirements, including considering how you could streamline your compliance processes if, indeed, the FCA settles on closer alignment between the MCOB rules and Consumer Duty.
The discussion paper closes to comments on 19 September 2025. The FCA states that, before recommending and consulting on any changes to its rules and guidance, it will focus on how consumers and the market are protected. In the meantime, it will continue to engage with key stakeholders through forums, roundtables and individual meetings.
The FCA plans to publish a policy statement following its May 2025 ‘first steps' consultation in Q3 2025 and will consider relevant responses in conjunction with responses to the discussion paper. The FCA does not believe that an implementation period for the proposed changes to MCOB in the consultation (if adopted) is required. Firms would be able to apply the changes at their discretion once final rules are introduced into the FCA Handbook.
In a speech on 26 June 2025 and in the context of the current debate around how best to regulate for growth rather than risk, FCA CEO Nikhil Rathi mentioned that he has raised whether the Mortgage Charter, which was designed for a period of sharply rising interest rates, could be retired. He commented that with the ‘[Consumer] Duty in place, repossessions low, and a maturing risk mindset, do we need this duplicative approach with the added reporting burdens it brings?' Given the FCA's ongoing MRR, Mr Rathi further queries what signal is sent about ‘political risk tolerance' if the Mortgage Charter is retained.
If you would like to discuss how our combined legal and consulting teams can help you in relation to the FCA's Mortgage Rule Review, please reach out to any of the people listed in this article or your usual Hogan Lovells contact.
Authored by Charles Elliott and Virginia Montgomery.