Insights and Analysis

New perspectives on handling decommissioning liabilities & risks for end-of-life energy, mining, industrial, waste management and shipping assets

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Key takeaways

Solving the stranded asset problem for redundant and end-of-life energy, mining, industrial, waste management and shipping assets with decommissioning reserve funds and bonds.

It is estimated that over the coming decades, decommissioning redundant and end-of-life energy, mining, industrial, waste management and shipping assets will cost at least USD 8 trillion.  Including nuclear energy, only about USD 0.5 trillion of these liabilities have been pre-funded. So USD 7.5 trillion worth of decommissioning obligations solely rely on creditworthiness of their operator at the time of decommissioning.

Decommissioning therefore poses a significant global financial challenge. Asset owners face issues arising from operational costs and decommissioning programme management, capacity constraints, workforce and community needs and long-term financial provision.

In this briefing, written in partnership with our client BNP PARIBAS Asset Management (BNPP AM), we review new financial strategies and funding options, such as decommissioning reserve funds and decommissioning bonds, which will help asset owners plan and finance decommissioning, demonstrate commitment to transition activities, align with national and corporate transition plans and mitigate litigation and regulatory risks.

Industrial facilities don’t last forever, eventually they have to be safely decommissioned

Energy (including renewable energy) and industrial assets are not designed to last forever.  They have long, but finite, life cycles and when the operational life of these assets end, they need to be safely decommissioned.  The decommissioning stage of the project is not always planned and/or pre-funded from project inception. This last stage can be very costly and complicated, requiring specialist skills technology and equipment. 

BNP Paribas Asset Management (BNPP AM) noted in its paper “Decommissioning Stranded Assets – A USD 8 trillion challenge” that in the next 20 to 30 years a large proportion of energy and industrial assets will reach the end of their operating life. This is a result of the construction cycle. For example, most US and European dams were built between 1930 and 1970 with a design life of 50 to 100 years, so half of them will need rehabilitation in the next 30 years. More wind and solar farms with life spans in the region of 20 years are being built in line with decarbonisation plans but they too will need rehabilitation at a similar time. Mining and oil & gas assets are also significantly impacted as reflected in the diagram below.

Total estimated decommissioning liabilities by sector

Total estimated decommissioning liabilities by sector 

Under-funded existing arrangements, increasing regulatory burden and accelerated timeframes for decommissioning can lead to significant shortfall in funds for decommissioning

Reflecting the importance of planning nuclear decommissioning, many jurisdictions require operators to set up decommissioning trust funds or provide financial assurances such as guarantees or surety bonds.  There are similar examples for oil & gas assets but the regulatory framework differs across jurisdictions and even where pre-funding or other security is required, funding pots risk suffering significant shortfalls.

Even if a company has planned for and fully provisioned, or pre-funded, decommissioning of its aged assets, growing regulatory requirements in many jurisdictions are increasing decommissioning costs.  And liabilities may become due far earlier than expected due to national net zero commitments, decreasing economic viability or fiscal or regulatory policy changes.  This can be particularly problematic as it comes at a time when financial stakeholders are inclined to reduce and/or withdraw support as the assets come to the end of their operating life.

Impact on M&A in the oil & gas, energy and mining sectors

Decommissioning liabilities are central to the merger and acquisition (M&A) strategy in the oil & gas, energy and mining sectors. They directly influence asset valuation, with buyers often applying significant discounts or requiring pre-funded decommissioning arrangements. Risk allocation is a key negotiation point, including seller-retained liabilities and cost-sharing provisions.

The oil & gas industry sits within a complex legal, regulatory and contractual framework. Therefore business partners, buyers and/or financiers and insurers need to do rigorous legal due diligence to understand obligations and liabilities connected with decommissioning within this framework, for example in relation to joint and several liability, the potential imposition of decommissioning liabilities not just on asset owning companies but also on prior owners and affiliated entities and regulatory powers to require the provision of security for future decommissioning costs..

Decommissioning – plan for decommissioning as we plan for old age

Failure to tackle the potential shortfall arising from unfunded, or underfunded, decommissioning liabilities could have major negative impacts the companies involved, the tax payer and more widely. However, BNPP AM’s view is that if we approach the issue from a different perspective, for example the model of investing pension funds, a compelling investment opportunity arises.

Below we discuss four different options proposed by BNPP AM to manage exposure to decommissioning liabilities and their relative benefits and drawbacks1:

Relying on “Pay-as-you-go”

Operators rely on free cashflow to fund decommissioning, but this depends on enough cashflow being available.

+ no immediate action needed (use letters of credit / surety bonds / guarantees

+ easiest to implement effectively allows the asset owner to fully utilise operating profits as they are made

- does not solve the problem, kicks the can down the road

- exposes operators to growing financial risks associated with stranded assets and partner defaults

- may not be permissible given regulatory or contractual requirements

Transfer of liability through divestment

Allows asset owner to exit all affected assets when they cease to be operational, increasing cashflow, potentially divesting of all liability and maintaining full flexibility of cashflows.

+ immediate clean-up of balance sheet

+ positive value surprises during transfers are possible

- slow implementation as most effective implementation is asset by asset sale

- selling all “brown” assets may not be possible

- reputational and financial risks if buyers have low environmental standards – public perception may be bad and possible residual legal risk under the polluter-pays-principle

- may not be permissible given regulatory or contractual requirements

Pre-funding a decommissioning reserve (DRF)

Not unlike a pension fund, some upfront funding is actively managed in a fund, regularly monitored and incorporating an ESG-aligned investment strategy to support long-term returns. Ultimately, funds are designed to be sufficient to pay for all decommissioning costs.

+ materially reduces financial and shortfall risks if vehicle is off-balance sheet and sufficiently funded

+ can be applied to all assets

+ can be used to dispose of already remediated assets

- requires structuring and (some) upfront funding

- requires ongoing governance

PLUS optional Decommissioning Bonds

A bond can be issued to pre-fund the DRF. An innovative take on transition bonds, the principal would be invested for long-term growth to cover all current and future decommissioning costs, and the coupons would be paid to the bondholders from the income on the DRF. In line with market expectations for transition bonds, decommissioning bonds would be issued in connection with assets that have ambitious and credible connected climate transition plans, providing a clear signal to the markets about the intentions of the asset owner.

Transfer risk to captive or insurer

This can be used in tandem with the DRF solution above or alone.

+ partial reduction of on-balance sheet risk exposure (captive is not off-balance sheet)

+ can help identify reinsurance and insurance synergies

- requires structuring and material upfront funding

- requires ongoing governance in line with insurance and solvency regulation

 

What now?

Although companies recognise decommissioning as a critical issue, there is still work to be done to incentivise operators to sufficiently pre-fund investment in decommissioning and the development of reserve funds (including in areas where the upfront provision of decommissioning security is not already a regulatory requirement or imbedded market practice).

There is a strong link between the decommissioning of oil & gas, mining and industrial assets and the energy transition, as an accelerated energy transition is likely to lead earlier retirement of ageing fossil fuel assets in some jurisdictions. This has a fiscal dimension as tax relief for decommissioning costs accrue to operators, and tax receipts from production are reduced or cease entirely. Early decommissioning also poses serious environmental, health and safety risks if not addressed, not least because large numbers of assets are likely to fall due for decommissioning at the same time. Apart from the lack of skilled workforce capacity to undertake the relevant decommissioning work and uncertainty around available cash flow to fund this, there is also a social dimension. As jobs in the fossil fuel sector dwindle in certain jurisdictions, jobs in decommissioning-related industries and the clean energy sector are created – this requires a joined up approach to seize the opportunities connected with ensuring the workforce has the skills necessary to support the transition (and to alleviate the otherwise significant risks in not investing early to ensure workforce readiness).

Industry participants, including BNPP AM, are currently urging the UK government to consider a pre-funded Decommissioning and Energy Transition Reserve (DETRF) dedicated to the North Sea (and which could be replicated elsewhere) to ensure that long-term decommissioning costs and transition objectives will be met.2

The North Sea DETRF – or any similar fund established for transition and decommissioning purposes – would offer the asset owners who have not already pre-funded part or all of their liabilities the option to contribute to a fund. Funded in part by these contributions together with tax incentives and public sector capital and also offering the optional issuance of decommissioning bonds, the fund would contribute to the mitigation of the risks connected with decommissioning and stranded assets. Effectively, it would function as a pension scheme for the affected assets.  Similar opportunities exist for other industries such as mining, industrial, waste management and shipping. Read more in BNPP AM’s paper “The Decommissioning and Energy Transition Challenge in the North Sea” about this innovative approach to ensuring safe and timely decommissioning in the North Sea.

BNPP Group and Hogan Lovells can support corporate clients and investors in the energy, oil & gas, mining, nuclear and industrial sectors by:

  • Selecting the best strategy to deal with decommissioning liabilities and risks.
  • Developing an appropriate funding framework.
  • Supporting divestment activities.
  • Supporting the establishment of funding vehicles.
  • Implementing an investment strategy.

Stay ahead with timely curated developments, insights and thought leadership on ESG regulation with our ESG Regulatory Alerts tool. 

This note is intended to be a general guide to the latest ESG developments. It does not constitute legal advice.


Authored by Emily Julier, Bryony Widdup, Julien Halfon, Vincent Mayot and Phil Dawes.

References
  1. See “Decommissioning Stranded Assets – A USD 8 trillion challenge”, BNP Paribas Asset Management, 2023 for more detail on these product solutions.
  2. Existing decommissioning security arrangements for the UK oil and gas industry are regulated by the Offshore Petroleum Regulator for Environment and Decommissioning (OPRED) and underpinned by the Petroleum Act 1998.  Relevant guidance notes are available here: DECC Document Template - Standard Numbering

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