
Judgment in the Cloud: The future of risk and regulation with James Lord, Google Cloud
According to the indicative timeline for Allocation Round 7 ("AR7") of the UK’s Contracts for Difference ("CfD") scheme, the application window is due to open in August 2025 with results anticipated by early 2026. AR7 is attracting close attention as it will be the first AR since:
Our previous articles on the Clean Industry Bonus and the 2030 Action Plan can be found here and here.
Ahead of AR7, the government has undertaken a series of consultations to explore ways to maximise deployment of renewables to meet its 2030 goals.
The CfD scheme has traditionally targeted projects that are substantially developed, including full planning consent. As the government puts wind at the heart of its energy strategy, it proposes to relax the eligibility criteria for fixed-bottom offshore wind projects, which can face lead-in times of more than a decade – allowing such projects that have yet to secure full planning consent to participate in ARs.
To mitigate the risk of awarding CfDs to projects that might ultimately fail to obtain planning permission, the proposal would require unconsented projects to have reached an intermediate point in the planning process by a cut-off date, subject to evidence of progress. Two threshold dates are under consideration:
Most respondents supported this proposal, prompting a follow-up consultation on amendments to the Standard Terms and Conditions for a CfD.
To implement the relaxed eligibility while avoiding a two-tier system in which unconsented projects have more/less strict commitments or penalties, the following changes to the CfD Standard Terms and Conditions are considered to reflect the reality that unconsented projects will be unable to commit to firm timings for planning-related reasons:
To limit underspent budget as seen in AR6 for fixed-bottom offshore wind projects, the government confirmed in its 6 May response that to improve deployment efficiency, it intends to:
Allowing the Secretary of State greater visibility of sealed bid information could inform budget-setting and signals a stronger emphasis on capacity procurement than cost-driven decisions.
The government stressed that its consultations are without prejudice to a final government decision and should not be interpreted as an indication that any specific policy outcome will be adopted. However, when viewed alongside the planning reforms seen in the Planning and Infrastructure Bill, which is currently under Parliamentary consideration and aims to streamline the nationally significant infrastructure projects regime (For details of the Bill, please see here), the future landscape is shifting toward a more agile and coordinated approach to delivering clean energy infrastructure.
Authored by Brian Chiu.